Day Trading Setups
Three-Push / Wedge Exhaustion Reversal
A converging wedge usually makes three directional pushes before it turns, and each push is typically weaker than the one before it. Watch the real momentum decay push by push, then call reversal or continuation before the fourth move plays out.
Watch the pushes decay, then call the turn
Each push's strength is the sum of every real candle body inside it, computed live off the bars as they print. Once all three pushes are on the chart, the ratio of push two to push one and push three to push two feed a single exhaustion score. Call Reversal Likely or Continuation Likely before the outcome bars reveal.
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Click New Setup to build the first push.
| Exhaustion tier | Trials | Reversals | Reversal rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weak (score < 35) | 0 | 0 | — |
| Medium (35–65) | 0 | 0 | — |
| Strong (score ≥ 65) | 0 | 0 | — |
How it works
- Each push's momentum is a real number, not a label. It's the sum of the absolute open-to-close move of every candle inside that push, added up live from the actual generated bars.
- Two ratios drive the score. Push 2's measure divided by push 1's, and push 3's divided by push 2's. A ratio under 1.0 means that push covered less real ground than the one before it.
- The exhaustion score blends both ratios into 0–100. The lower the average ratio, the higher the score, and the higher the real probability weight used to generate whether the next leg actually reverses.
- The outcome is never a coin flip. A high score genuinely raises the odds of a reversal in this simulator's own math, it doesn't guarantee one, which is exactly why the tier table below tracks the real reversal rate separately from your own accuracy.
Where this breaks
A shrinking body only measures speed, not who's left to sell
Body size falling push over push is a real, honest signal that the move is losing thrust, but it only measures how fast price is covering ground, not how many participants are still willing to push it further. A slow, grinding push with small candles scores as exhausted by this math even when it's just low volatility, and it can grind through several more bars without ever producing a real reversal. A high exhaustion score is a real reason to expect weakness, it is not proof the move is done, which is exactly why this tool grades your call against a probability, not a guarantee.