What happens to my account if I let my stop-loss slide, just this once, over and over?

How this is calculated

• This is a simplified expected-value model, not a random trade-by-trade simulation. It assumes your win rate, reward ratio, and slide frequency hold steady across every trade, and applies that same expected outcome each trade in a compounding sequence.
• The disciplined path applies your win rate, reward ratio, and base risk with every stop honored exactly as planned, every time.
• The habit path applies the same win rate and reward ratio, but a share of your losing trades, the slide frequency you set, lose more than your base risk because the stop was allowed to slide.
• Because both paths compound trade over trade, even a small slide frequency and a modest size-up on those losses can produce a meaningfully different ending balance over a large number of trades. That difference is the true cost of the habit, not any single trade.
• This tool cannot know your actual future win rate or whether your slide habit will stay this consistent. Use it to see the shape of the cost, not as a precise prediction.