Performance Tools

What is my trade expectancy per trade if I know my win rate, average winner, and average loser?

Enter Your Trade Stats

Enter this as a positive number. It's the average size of your losing trades, not a signed value.

Add this to project a total expected profit or loss over that many trades at these stats.

Your Result

Fill in the fields on the left and click Calculate to see your expected dollar result per trade, your implied profit factor, and the win rate you'd need just to break even at these average win/loss sizes.

Visualizing It

Win rate × avg win Loss rate × avg loss EXPECTANCY WEIGHS ONE AGAINST THE OTHER Positive expectancy tips the scale toward the win side over many trades

How this is calculated

Risk & liability disclaimer: This calculator produces a mathematical estimate based on the numbers you enter. It is not financial advice and does not guarantee any trading outcome. Trading involves risk of loss, and a positive expectancy calculated from past or assumed statistics does not guarantee future profitability. Trading Habits is not a broker-dealer, registered investment adviser, or tax professional, and is not affiliated with any broker, exchange, or data provider. We do not guarantee this tool is error-free or suitable for your situation. Always verify results independently and consult a licensed professional before making any trading or financial decision. You could lose some or all of the capital you trade with.